Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.679426 5.047484 5.445389 5.910156 6.441519 7.034212 7.751215
2025-08-03 4.100270 4.603251 5.184203 5.914996 6.824917 7.942323 9.454941
2025-08-10 3.688794 4.245619 4.916373 5.802733 6.974127 8.518812 10.805412
2025-08-17 3.366335 3.942844 4.658449 5.638954 6.994991 8.887502 11.908389
2025-08-24 3.141919 3.733879 4.487418 5.552598 7.086251 9.341209 13.213021
2025-08-31 3.011000 3.629134 4.435684 5.611991 7.377363 10.121704 15.237195
2025-09-07 2.884046 3.517140 4.360532 5.623946 7.590469 10.806663 17.294701
2025-09-14 2.705742 3.323389 4.156757 5.426169 7.448394 10.867308 18.147373
2025-09-21 2.571291 3.180880 4.013964 5.304631 7.410490 11.097668 19.427950
2025-09-28 2.467715 3.074591 3.914684 5.238810 7.453272 11.476797 21.179959
2025-10-05 2.393467 3.004745 3.862614 5.240158 7.607382 12.091959 23.775446
2025-10-12 2.353009 2.979876 3.873747 5.340910 7.945749 13.142562 28.128421
2025-10-19 2.313741 2.957153 3.890201 5.458156 8.343532 14.449607 34.395675
2025-10-26 2.248938 2.894334 3.842329 5.464614 8.535511 15.354581 40.220912
2025-11-02 2.164729 2.798844 3.738282 5.365777 8.506833 15.722307 44.302463
2025-11-09 2.076332 2.693428 3.613292 5.221078 8.368368 15.783196 47.116571
2025-11-16 2.009218 2.617164 3.530415 5.144656 8.362320 16.196672 52.374281
2025-11-23 1.974427 2.587949 3.520432 5.197227 8.634996 17.457492 64.966118
2025-11-30 1.933136 2.546965 3.489057 5.207805 8.817522 18.522516 79.265089
2025-12-07 1.856967 2.449857 3.362096 5.032616 8.563209 18.173854 80.952973
2025-12-14 1.798211 2.377841 3.273598 4.924738 8.453369 18.273539 87.727142
2025-12-21 1.752415 2.324343 3.213313 4.866245 8.451487 18.733434 100.324713
2025-12-28 1.720449 2.291244 3.185349 4.867444 8.590611 19.726101 125.243539